Sunday, January 24, 2010

Glaciergate

Pachauri: the real story behind the Glaciergate scandal - Christopher Booker
The scientist behind the bogus claim in a Nobel Prize-winning UN report that Himalayan glaciers will have melted by 2035 last night admitted it was included purely to put political pressure on world leaders.

Dr Murari Lal also said he was well aware the statement, in the 2007 report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), did not rest on peer-reviewed scientific research.
Glacier scientist: I knew data hadn't been verified - David Rose
Last week, the IPCC, led by its increasingly controversial chairman, Dr Rajendra Pachauri, was forced to issue an unprecedented admission: the statement in its 2007 report that Himalayan glaciers could disappear by 2035 had no scientific basis, and its inclusion in the report reflected a "poor application" of IPCC procedures.

What has now come to light, however, is that the scientist from whom this claim originated, Dr Syed Hasnain, has for the past two years been working as a senior employee of The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI), the Delhi-based company of which Dr Pachauri is director-general.
Climategate: The Wheels Come Off for the IPCC - by Charlie Martin
The result was that the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) — after Dr. Rajendra Pachauri, chair of the IPCC, called the 2035 story “voodoo science” — eventually had to withdraw that section of the report.
Climate chief was told of false glacier claims before Copenhagen - Ben Webster
Rajendra Pachauri was told that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment that the glaciers would disappear by 2035 was wrong, but he waited two months to correct it. He failed to act despite learning that the claim had been refuted by several leading glaciologists.

Friday, January 22, 2010

The Election of Scott Brown

Feeling the Heat, Obama Pours Kool-Aid - Jonah Goldberg
The question isn’t, “Do you regret tackling these issues?” The question is, “Do you regret how you tackled these issues?” According to Obama, there was no other way than his way. And these ungrateful, confused, angry voters just don’t understand that.
The Meaning of Brown - Charles Krauthammer
The reason both wings of American liberalism — congressional and mainstream media — were so surprised at the force of anti-Democratic sentiment is that they’d spent Obama’s first year either ignoring or disdaining the clear early signs of resistance: the tea-party movement of the spring and the town-hall meetings of the summer. With characteristic condescension, they contemptuously dismissed the protests as the mere excrescences of a redneck, retrograde, probably racist rabble.
The Context Of Middle-Class Frustration - Doctor Zero
The middle class is the great enemy of collectivist politics, under any of its names: progressivism, communism, fascism, or “liberalism.” As far back as Karl Marx, the apostles of collectivism have understood that they must subjugate the middle class before they can claim total victory.

Friday, January 15, 2010

The Economy - January 2010

America's New Year's Unemployment Hangover - by Rep. John Carter



Bernanke and the Beast - N. Gregory Mankiw
IS galloping inflation around the corner? Without doubt, the United States is exhibiting some of the classic precursors to out-of-control inflation. But a deeper look suggests that the story is not so simple.

"Fear the Boom and Bust" a Hayek vs. Keynes Rap Anthem


ObamaNomics: An Endless Downward Spiral - BoomerJeff



A REALITY CHECK FOR A LAME WASHINGTON ESTABLISHMENT TALKING POINT
- Glenn Reynolds

Note that the following table is of actual and estimated annual federal budget deficits, not the cumulative national debt.

Thursday, January 14, 2010

Bush Staff Interviews

The John Yoo Interview
Jon Stewart interviewed the "torture memo" author John Yoo. Here is the link to Daniel Foster's entry at The Corner, which has links to the videos.

The Marc Thiessen Interview
CNN's Christine Amanpour interviews Marc Thiessen on enhanced interrogation.

Saturday, December 26, 2009

Technical Analysis

Resources on technical analysis of financial markets:

California Leading the Way

California has always been a leader in commerce, science and culture. Recently it has fallen on hard times economically. The resulting decline in tax revenue has also coincided with huge increases in state government expenditures and future obligations.

The War Over California - by Ross Douthat
The argument about what went wrong with California is really an argument about the future of America. To the right, the Golden State’s ongoing crisis is a case study in liberal failure: A big-spending state that lived far beyond its means, and let its public-policy priorities be dictated by the appetites of liberal interest groups instead of the common good. To the left, it’s a case study in how a malign nexus of conservative intransigence and institutional sclerosis can thwart good governance. The problem in California isn’t the spending, liberals argue: It’s the supermajority requirements that prevent a liberal majority from raising the taxes necessary to pay for it.
The Big-Spending, High-Taxing, Lousy-Services Paradigm - by William Voegeli
Unpacking the numbers is even more revealing—and, for California, disturbing. The biggest contrast between the two states shows up in “net internal migration,” the demographer’s term for the difference between the number of Americans who move into a state from another and the number who move out of it to another. Between April 1, 2000, and June 30, 2007, an average of 3,247 more Americans moved out of California than into it every week, according to the Census Bureau. Over the same period, Texas saw a net gain, in an average week, of 1,544 people. Aside from Louisiana and Mississippi, which lost population to other states because of Hurricane Katrina, California is the only Sunbelt state that had negative net internal migration after 2000. All the other states that lost population to internal migration were Rust Belt basket cases, including New York, Illinois, New Jersey, Michigan, and Ohio.
Failed State - by William Voegeli

Adjusted for inflation, California's per-capita outlays increased by 21.7% between 1992 and 2006; the increase for the other 49 states and the District of Columbia was 18.2%....

A few counterfactuals show that these different growth rates matter—a lot. If constant-dollar, per-capita expenditures by California's state and local governments had grown by 18.2% between 1992 and 2006, the rate for the rest of the country, rather than 21.7%, California's public sector would have spent $10.6 billion less than it actually did in 2006. While California government expenditures grew faster than the national average, even states not famous for the parsimony or integrity of their public sectors, such as New York (16.4%) and New Jersey (12.8%), grew more slowly. If California's outlays had grown only fast enough to keep pace with population growth and inflation from 1992 to 2006, public spending would have been 17.8% less in 2006, $300 billion rather than $365 billion. The resulting level of per-capita government outlays in 2006 would have equaled neither Somalia's nor Mississippi's, but...Oregon's, which is rarely considered a hellish paradigm of Social Darwinism.

Public Employee Unions Are Sinking California - Steven Greenhut
Approximately 85% of the state's 235,000 employees (not including higher education employees) are unionized. As the governor noted during his $83 billion budget roll-out, over the past decade pension costs for public employees increased 2,000%. State revenues increased only 24% over the same period. A Schwarzenegger adviser wrote in the San Jose Mercury News in the past few days that, "This year alone, $3 billion was diverted to pension costs from other programs." There are now more than 15,000 government retirees statewide who receive pensions that exceed $100,000 a year, according to the California Foundation for Fiscal Responsibility.

Many of these retirees are former police officers, firefighters, and prison guards who can retire at age 50 with a pension that equals 90% of their final year's pay. The pensions for these (and all other retirees) increase each year with inflation and are guaranteed by taxpayers forever—regardless of what happens in the economy or whether the state's pensions funds have been fully funded (which they haven't been).

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Climate Change Resources

Some good resources on Climate Change: